Which 2 Teams Will Make It to the WTC Final?

WTC Final

The race to the WTC (World Test Championship) final 2025 has intensified as four teams look to make it to the final. Australia, South Africa, and India are three teams with a greater chance of making it to the final, while the Sri Lankan team has an outside chance to play in the final.

Top 4 Teams in Contention for the WTC Final

The following are qualification scenarios for the four teams in contention for the WTC final:

How Can Team India Qualify for the WTC Final 2025?

After the humiliating whitewash against the New Zealand team at home, the Indian team has to grind hard in Australia to make it to the WTC final. India made a great start to the Australian tour by winning the first Test in Perth but slipped in Adelaide, dampening their chances of making it to the WTC final.

India will need to win the current Border-Gavaskar Trophy by a margin of 2-1, 3-1, or 4-1 to make a direct entry in the WTC final. With the rain persisting in the Gabba Test, this match is headed towards a draw. If that happens, India will need to win one and draw one match for a direct entry. If India wins 3-2, they will want one of two Tests between Australia and Sri Lanka to end in a draw.

If the Border-Gavaskar Trophy (BGT) remains undecided, India will need Sri Lanka to defeat Australia 1-0 in the upcoming Test series. A defeat in the BGT would put India out of contention for the WTC final.

If India has to win the BGT, Jasprit Bumrah will need support from other bowlers, and Indian batting has to step up.

How Can Australia Qualify for the WTC Final?

A 3-2 BGT series win against India would be sufficient for Australia to book a spot in the final. If Australia loses the BGT series, they will have to ensure that the scoreline is not worse than 2-3.

In case Australia loses 2-3 to India, they will need to defeat Sri Lanka 2-0 in the away series. Defeating Sri Lanka in their home conditions would be tough, and that is why Australia would want to seal the BGT series and a spot in the WTC final.

How Can South Africa Qualify for the WTC Final 2025?

There are not a lot of ifs and buts when it comes to South Africa’s qualification scenario. They will make it to the final if they win at least one of their two Test matches against Pakistan.

South Africa will be playing a 2-match Test series against Pakistan at home, making them a strong favorite to make it to the WTC final.

How Can Sri Lanka Qualify for the WTC Final 2025?

Sri Lanka’s away series 0-2 defeat against South Africa has almost knocked them out of the WTC race. The team now only has an outside chance, with them requiring to win the home Test series against Australia 2-0. Plus, Sri Lanka will need Pakistan to defeat South Africa 2-0 and hope that Australia does not win the BGT series.

WTC Points Table

The current WTC points table (as of 17/12/2024) is as follows:

Position

Team

Played

Won

Lost

Draw

Points

PCT

1

South Africa

10

6

3

1

76

63.33

2

Australia

14

9

4

1

102

60.71

3

India

16

9

6

1

110

57.29

4

New Zealand

14

7

7

0

81

48.21

5

Sri Lanka

11

5

6

0

60

45.45

Final Thoughts

Looking at the current qualification scenarios, South Africa has the greatest chance of making it to the WTC final. One of either Australia or India will be the other team to join South Africa in the final. Sri Lanka has the slimmest chance of making it to the final, as they will have to win both their matches and hope that other results go in their favor.

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